Lines of attack ready.

Graph extracted from Publico newspaper.

It's all clear to me now. When we are less than two weeks away from the beginning of the official campaign, both main parties, PSOE and PP, have finalised their attack lines.

On one side PSOE is going to focus on the radicalisation of PP in the right, while PP is going to focus the message on making the global economic slow-down a PSOE problem at home.

The key to the election outcome is going to be the mobilisation of the left wing vote by PSOE.

Publico, a left of the centre newspaper, has published today a new poll suggesting that as election day draws closer, the left vote is starting to mobilise and show in the polls, therefore PSOE according to the poll would today get 44.6% of the vote and PP 38.2%, a 6.4 points difference.

I would rather say that this poll shows how Zapatero's share would go up if he gets the hyper-critical left to mobilise (the also known 'exquisite voter').

Also, I still back the proposition I made in this blog months ago, the two debates are going to be crucial. People are hungry for direct no-nonsense debate between Zapatero and Rajoy, I believe that is the single one most valuable asset Zapatero got in the one month official campaign to win big on March 9.